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Since December 1st till March 31 you can apply to our programs:
Master in Economic Research and PhD in Economics
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- BA / MA degree or equivalent
- Proficiency in spoken and written English
- Solid background in mathematics
- Previous education in economics is recommended
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- Curriculum vitae
- Statement of motivation
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10:00 | Room 6 | Job Talk Seminar
Indiana University Bloomington, United States
Abstract: This paper presents new empirical evidence on short- and medium-term heterogeneous temperature effects on real GDP growth and inflation at the US state level. The results reveal heterogeneity across states, seasons, and time horizons, with the sign of responses becoming synchronized seven quarters after temperature shocks. By examining the joint responses of output and prices, I explore whether temperature shocks resemble demand or supply shock at the state-level. The nature of shock varies by sea-son and time horizon: cold season shock initially acts as positive demand and supply shock but transitions to negative supply (mostly in north-eastern states) and positive demand shock (mostly in southern states) as the time horizon extends, whereas warm season shock predominantly resembles negative supply shock after seven quarters (especially in southern states). Variations in state-level responses are explained by state attributes such as sectoral shares of manufacturing and services along with average temperature.
Full Text: Heterogeneity in the Economic Impact of Temperature Shocks Across US States